Tory trounces Ford in new poll
John Tory and Doug Ford in heated debate at George Brown College in Toronto during the mayoral race on October 8, 2014. (Craig Robertson/Toronto Sun)
If an election was held now, Mayor John Tory would beat challenger Doug Ford hands down, says a new Mainstreet/Postmedia poll.
However, the poll also shows that if a strong progressive from the left were to enter the race — particularly someone with name recognition like Mike Layton — Tory could be in trouble.
The poll — taken of 1,000 random Torontonians on Sept. 8-9 — shows that in a head-to-head battle, Tory has a 27% lead over Ford, with 15% of voters still undecided. Voters go the polls to pick a new civic leader on Oct. 22, 2018.
In that one-on-one matchup, Tory dominates downtown Toronto with 72% of the vote while Ford has his strongest showing in Etobicoke (45%) and Scarborough (42%). Both results are entirely predictable considering Tory has expended considerable political capital trying to win leftist voters in downtown Toronto (with plans for Rail Deck park, harm reduction sites and other things.)
But once Layton jumps into the race (hypothetically speaking), Tory’s lead over Ford shrinks to seven percentage points, with Tory capturing 35% of the vote to Ford’s 28% and Layton’s 26%.
The Mainstreet poll shows downtown Toronto suddenly up for grabs between Tory and Layton with Ford emerging stronger than Tory in Etobicoke and Scarborough.
It becomes anyone’s guess who would capture North York where the poll has Tory, Ford and Layton separated by just six percentage points.